This research presents the impacts and risk analysis of rice production based from the disaster risks and climate change related occurrences for the last ten (10) years in Cabanatuan, Nueva Ecija. Risk elements such as hazards (Tropical Cyclones), exposure (Rice fields/farms), and vulnerability (GDP in terms of production in MT) were assessed using the Geographical Information Systems (GIS) Modeling. Rice Modeling was integrated for the quantification and projection of the productivity of rice crops in the future. The diminishing dilemma of the rice yield production was validated using other types of mathematical algorithms/models. Mitigation and adaptive capacities were also incorporated in this study as part of the Risk Management.