Campaign Spending and Its Effect during the 2013 and 2016 Elections in the Province of Cebu
Patrick Boniao
Discipline: Politics
Abstract:
Elections play a crucial role in legitimizing authority in democratic societies, yet the impact of
campaign spending necessitates further investigation. This research delves into the influence of campaign
expenditures on election outcomes in Cebu province between 2013 and 2016. Analysis of the Statement of
Contributions and Expenditures (SOCE), this study explores how candidates make decisions regarding the
allocation of campaign funds. Employing a mixed-method research approach, quantitative techniques like
regression analysis are utilized to examine the relationship between spending and election results, while
qualitative methods including scrutinizing SOCE documents and conducting interviews with candidates
and COMELEC officials shed light on spending patterns and offer recommendations for policy
enhancements. Cebu Provincial data elections spanning 2013 and 2016 reveal a strong positive correlation
between election spending and votes. Travel expenses, compensating campaigners, and communication
demonstrate statistically insignificant correlations with voting outcomes (p-values of 0.842, 0.771, and 0.811,
respectively). Similarly, printed materials and the employment of watchers’ expenditures display slightly
positive correlations but lack statistical significance (p-values of 0.239 and 0.984). Moreover, campaign
headquarters, meetings, and rallies show no significant correlations (p-values of 0.841 and 0.458).
Advertising expenses emerged as the sole statistically significant factor in 2013 (p = 0.000), indicating a
substantial 22.6 increase in votes for every 55,895 pesos spent. In the 2013 elections, only campaign
paraphernalia and media spending correlated with votes; conversely, media spending was the sole positive
correlation in 2016. Findings suggest that wealth played a significant role in the 2013 election, undermining
the democratic principle of meritocracy where the most deserving candidate should prevail. Proposed policy
changes include criminalizing campaign malpractices, ensuring candidate qualifications are rigorously
vetted, and enhancing voter education programs spearheaded by academia. These measures are essential to
mitigate the undue influence of money in politics and uphold the integrity of our electoral system.
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